Election Polling and Prediction

learning_notes

Last updated: 8/16/2025

Key Concepts

  • Applying Sample Proportions to Predict Elections: Polls estimate voter preferences, which can be scaled up to larger voting populations.
  • Computing Vote Differences: Using predicted vote counts to determine expected election outcomes.

Skills Covered

  • Using poll results to estimate election outcomes.
  • Calculating expected vote differences based on poll projections.

Example Problems

  • A poll of 500 voters finds that 55% plan to vote for Candidate A. Predict how many votes Candidate A will receive if 100,000 people vote.
  • A survey suggests that Candidate X will get 48% of the votes, while Candidate Y will get 52%. If 50,000 people vote, by how many votes is Candidate Y expected to win?

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